Showing posts with label R&D. Show all posts
Showing posts with label R&D. Show all posts

Saturday, June 21, 2025

The Chinese AI strategy is simple. That country wants to be the number one actor in AI development by 2030.



The new Chinese AI called “Manus” doesn't need humans for self-development. We can wonder how the Chinese can make that tool. The thing that guarantees success is the high-ranking official and political support for the AI framework. The Communist Party of China determines its official goal for AI development is that China will be the number one actor in AI development by 2030. That is the official goal. And we know that China wants to use AI as a tool to control people. And work as an ultimate intelligence tool. 

That means Manus is quite near the Artificial General Intelligence, AGI. The AGI is the tool that can control things across the technological field. The AI can connect the robot’s operating systems to itself. The other way is that the AI rewrites the operating system for machines. And that makes those AI systems more versatile than normal AIs. But the fact is this: the new normal will be the AI. And China wants to be number one in that development work. The AI strategy for Chinese R&D work is simple. China wants to be number one in AI development by 2030. And that work gets high-level political support. 

This means that people who work with the AI and R&D programs in that system will get privileges if they work with that work. In China, authorities and high-level political leaders understand the benefits that AI can bring to their work. The hacker spies who brought lots of highly classified data into the hands of the Chinese intelligence gave a demonstration of high-level political support and investments in data skills to Chinese authorities. Those hacking cases from 2011 to 2015 brought hypersonic missiles and other things into the Chinese hands. And still today we discuss how we can stop AI development. So, maybe the Chinese want to be number one in AI development. 

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Morgan Stanley's report says: 

- China is becoming a world leader in AI because of government support and its focus on computing efficiency.

-The country’s AI industry and related sectors could grow into a market valued at $1.4 trillion by 2030.

-China’s AI investments may break even by 2028 and deliver a 52% return on invested capital by 2030.

-U.S. export controls could create barriers for AI development in China but won’t stop its progress.

- AI is likely to boost China’s GDP growth by powering investment in the next two to three years and improving productivity over the longer run.

https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/china-ai-becoming-global-leader

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They can make things like AI-spying tools that operate in the net like ghosts and steal data from anywhere they want. And that data can be driven to another AI that makes models for the manufacturing platforms. Maybe we say to the Chinese that they should not steal our data from companies who spent years on that thing. But maybe the Chinese will understand us, and stop making those tools. AI is the new tool for the arms race. It can collect data from multiple sources and then use that data to make new solutions. One version of how the hostile actor gets access to data is to cheat people using that actor’s AI. That thing can happen simply by offering better tools for people. That tool can copy data to the databases, where intelligence officials can have access. But how to remove warnings and things like censorship? 

The Chinese AI refuses to discuss things like the Tiananmen incident, where Chinese authorities crushed the opposition. One version is simply to make their AI for foreigners and then that AI can dump data to the PLA’s intelligence section. That means the AI can operate like any other AI. But it dumps data to China by using backup backup. So, if some Western actor can make something using those AIs that means they make backup copies of that data straight to Chinese intelligence official's servers. 

This is one of the things that we must realize. When we put limits on AI development. The high-level political support means that those AIs and other things are more effective than we even realize. That support means that those systems and their developers have full access to the user's data. So there are no breaks for that work. 


https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/strategic-insights-memos/assessing-chinas-ai-development-and-forecasting-its-future-tech-priorities/


https://www.ginc.org/chinas-national-ai-strategy/


https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/china-ai-becoming-global-leader


https://techbriefly.com/2025/03/10/manus-is-china-ai-that-works-without-humans/



Tuesday, August 30, 2022

Why are things like the JWST telescope along with Artemis and Dart spacecraft advancing the economy and civil and military technology?



Above: Dart mission. 

The growing economy requires innovation and trust. 


The price of the JWST and Artemis is very high. But the fact is that they are advancing economical advantage. Those kinds of high-profile projects are a good introduction to the know-how of the actors that are working with them. This thing will bring companies to offer their ideas and discuss with NASA and its cooperatives about advancing space technology in civil and military areas. 

When we are thinking about the price of the moon program. We always forget that the moon program gave many sidelines like velcros. And the experience of heavy-duty systems. But it also opened the path to developing lightweight computers and later artificial intelligence. So the projects like Artemis and JWST are offering the framework where new products can develop. 

Things like Mars-rovers are also offering the tool how to test independently operating vehicles and the artificial intelligence software that can turn into everyday life. Innovation is the key element in those missions. 


The new technology can be dangerous in the wrong hands. 


NASA's Dart mission also offers the possibility to create and develop a new type of artificial intelligence-based technology that allows one to search for the right asteroid and shoot the penetrators to it. But the same technology that is used in Dart can use for creating killer satellites that can destroy at least military satellites. 

The problem with killer satellites is that space is, of course, a demilitarized area. But things like GPS satellites, recon satellites that point to the targets, and satellites that are supporting military forces in some other ways are military targets. The military role of the satellite makes it a legal military target. 

So the killer satellites are satellites that might seem harmless to people on Earth. But modern technology is changing that situation. Those satellites can drop armed quadcopters from the orbiter. 

Those quadcopters can be satellite-controlled and armed with pistols or larger weapons. Those systems are more realistic than some "rail guns". They are simply capsules that are dropped through the atmosphere and release those drones. 


Image: https://therobustframe.in/dart-mission-by-nasa-to-stop-an-asteroid/


https://webelieveinabrightfuture.blogspot.com/


Saturday, December 18, 2021

Where are aliens hiding?

 Where are aliens hiding?



Above: fictional space cruiser from "Star Wars" movie

Are there other technical advanced civilizations near us?


Are there other technical advanced civilizations near us? That is one of the biggest questions we ever faced. There are no official contacts with aliens and the rest are purely hypothetical thoughts and models. 

But there is the possibility that SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) will make contact tomorrow. Or maybe it takes thousands of years for taking confirmed signals from the other civilizations. 

Tools like the James Webb telescope and quantum computers are the most powerful tools ever been used for that kind of mission. The James Webb telescope can find the Earth-size planets orbiting other stars. But the main role in the SETI program plays radio telescopes. The requirement for making contact is that also aliens are using similar technology with us. 

We don't even know if the aliens have radio telescopes? And what frequencies they are listening to. Getting that information requires contact with aliens. And without that information is very hard to make contact. There are no confirmed alien signals so everything we write and talk about intelligent alien civilizations is purely hypothetical and theoretical discussions. 


What if advanced civilizations use unmanned automatic operating probes. Which are controlled by very advanced AI for interstellar missions? 


The answer is that nobody knows. Officially there is no evidence of intelligent alien civilizations. But there are many forms of how those civilizations can exist near us. One of the possibilities is that there could be probes that other civilizations sent. But this is only a theory or theoretical model of how to travel to stars. At first, there would send robots to find out suitable locations. 

The thing is that if aliens use robots that are controlled by artificial intelligence, they must not worry about flight times and other kinds of problems. The journey between stars could take even millenniums. 

And those probes would send data to their senders. That thing requires technology that makes craft able to fix itself. The problem is that the sender can forget those probes if there is some kind of internal problem like the war on their planet. 


Why the Wow!-signal(captured, August 15, 1977) and BLC-1 (captured, December 18, 2019) signals are unique?

The origin of BLC-1 (Breakthrough Listen Candidate 1) Remains a mystery. Things like broken computers are seeming good, but the problem is why those things that are causing that kind of things are not happening before. 

Same way, why have some high-energetic particle impacts with radio waves from Proxima Centauri haven't cause that kind of signal before? Or if the source of those signals is alien transmitting, why do those transmissions not repeat? The same thing that thing supports both theories. Why do those signals BLC-1 and Wow! are unique? 

Both natural and alien source theories can explain that thing. But there is some extraordinary in the structures of comets. That is mentioned as the source of the Wow!-signal from 1977. If the comets are the source of that signal there is the possibility that there was some kind of unique layer in those comets. 


Technical advances aren't forming without intelligence and motivation. 


The creature can be very intelligent. But that thing doesn't mean that it makes technical equipment. For creating new technical equipment. Intelligence requires motivation, tools, and knowledge on how to make something.

If that intelligence doesn't have the needed information the intelligence can ask that thing from something. or it can start to search answers for testing ad study the suitable solutions for making a new car or interstellar spacecraft. 


Three major things are dominating the R&D (research and development processes. 


1) Level of intelligence


2) Information that intelligence uses for the project. This part includes skills and systems what the project requires. 


3) And motivation. There must be time and other resources for completing the project. 

The thing is that intelligence is not the same thing with technical advances. Intelligence makes technical advances possible. But research and development (R&D) don't happen without motivation. 

The thing is that the lack of information means that there is a lack of stimulus. And creature requires stimulus for creating new solutions. Outcoming information creates motivation for creating new technology. 

If there is no motivation or will to get knowledge about something. When we think of that intelligence and advances are the same things. 

We are wrong about that thing. Intelligence makes it possible to create technical advances. But that requires motivation and will to get knowledge of how to make technical solutions. In the case that we want to make contact with civilization by using radio telescopes. That civilization must also have radio telescopes. 

When we write about possibilities to communicate with other civilizations we should rather say. "Communicate with other technical advanced civilizations". That communication requires that the civilization has similar communication equipment with us. And the thing is that even if that hypothetical civilization has the radio communication equipment. 

That thing doesn't mean the hypothetical civilization uses similar radio telescopes that we use. The thing is that without contact we cannot know how to communicate with aliens. And without that knowledge, we cannot make contact. There are a couple of promising signals and the only problem is that they are not repeating. The same thing that makes them promising makes them also uncertain. 

If the source of those signals would be a star these signals like Wow! and the 2019 signal from Proxima Centauri known as BLC-1 (Breakthrough Listen Candidate 1)would be a star they should be repeating. But because those signals were unique. That thing also supports the origin of those signals in chemical or electrochemical reactions. But it's also evidence against "natural source". The question is why that reaction happens only once?

The source of BLC-1 has been explained as the plasma impact or some other type of high-energetic particle impact that could disturb radio signals. But again the question is why that signal ever happened again? And why have similar things are not seen before? There is given also an exploration that a broken computer can give that signal. But the question is why that kind of effect has not been seen before?

The solar system itself is inhabited. But the thing is that there is the possibility that some kind of probe could send that signal. But is the position of the probe at Proxima Centauri. Or is it manmade and closer than we think? The fact is that nobody knows what caused that signal that was received in Parkes observatory on 18 December 2019. 

If the source of the Wow!-signal was in comets why did those comets send those signals only once? Was there some unique layer of material that sent that 72 seconds radio transmission to the Big Ear telescope in Ohio sate university? 

That thing means that their source could be some kind of reaction in AREA-51 or some other research plant. And they were formed. When some exotic materials are stressed. By using electromagnetic radiation. If aliens send those signals why they don't repeat them? So the source of those signals is unknown. 

Maybe in the case of the Wow! signal it was some kind of comet, but why do other comets not make similar effects. And why do those comets send that kind of signal only once? That is the thing why the source of those strange signals is unknown. 




https://earthsky.org/space/wow-signal-explained-comets-antonio-paris/


https://astronomy.com/news/2020/09/the-wow-signal-an-alien-missed-connection


https://www.livescience.com/alien-signal-blc1-earth-origin


https://www.sciencealert.com/exciting-mystery-space-technosignals-were-indeed-produced-by-sentient-life-us


https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/the-true-nature-of-the-candidate-et-signal-from-proxima-centauri/


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BLC1


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wow!_signal


The barren plateaus problem and intelligence

 The barren plateaus problem and intelligence




The lack of stimulation is the thing that causes loss of the motivation for create new things. 




What if we would live all of our life on that lone island. Which portrait is above this text without a single contact with other people? Without the internet and other connections, we would not even know about the existence of other humans and things like meteorites and tsunamis. Would we in that case build things like spacecraft? 

This is one version of Barren plateaus problem. Because we think that we are alone. And because of that, we have no stimulus or motivation to make new things.  Without information, we don't recognize risks. And risks are the things that motivate us to create new technical solutions. 

When we are thinking about intelligence, we must remember that intelligence is not enough. When we want to create technology. We also need motivation for research and development. 


In most cases, the reason for termination of some technical advances or ideas is that somewhere is always some other objectives for the resources that some project needs? One of the resources is, of course, time. When we are doing something, we need to reserve time for that thing. And if we find something. That is more important there is no time for the first thing. 


The Game theory can answer why there are so few intelligent civilizations.


The game theory claims that all organisms are maximizing their benefit. That is the thing that unites but it also scatters the society. If the organism feels that the benefit for society is higher than the benefit of the individual organism would fight for a common goal. In most cases, the reason why individual actors forget their benefit is a threat. That comes outside. Or the threat that requires combining forces. That threat can be an incoming meteorite, hostile actor, or some kind of natural disaster. 

Those things are made possible that the entire society connects forces for reaching the united goal. That goal can be destroying the attacker or building a better irrigation system. But then for some reason, the individual actors are starting again to value their benefit higher than the benefit of society. There must be some motivation for developing new technology. In the intensive world of the military sitting on a chair is a destructive thing. 

While the western world believes that old technologies would be enough to give resistance against hostile actors the Chinese developed a great number of new weapons. Those weapons like hypersonic cruise missiles are impressive. And at the same time serious reminder that the world is always changing. Who would believe ten or fifteen years ago that someday Chinese would be the leading nation in quantum technology? 


What kind of thing could motivate to build an interstellar spacecraft? When does some civilization want to put all of its resources into creating interstellar spacecraft? 

That kind of case can be an outcoming attack. But when peacetime comes the personal benefit displaces the benefit of the entirety. So if the civilization would sit alone in a place where it has no outside contacts it would not see a need to develop interstellar technology. 

The outcoming threat connects people. And it motivates to create new solutions for challenging enemies. But then those innovations are forgotten. 

The thing is the same with the barren plateau problem. If the organism has lived all the time in some desert oasis without any social contact that creature believes in being alone on the Earth or some other planet. A similar case would be that organism has lived its entire life at the lone island at the ocean.

Organism feels that there is no other threat to paradise than sharks and flows in the ocean.  That means our organism would just lay on the sand and eat bananas that are dropping from the trees. There is nothing that can treat that organism. So why must that organism make anything for getting out from that island? 

There might be some materials for the boat. But because that island or oasis gives everything for that organism.  There is no need to build the boat or that is how the organism feels that thing. The organism would not know anything about Tsunami or any other threats like the tribes at the island about 1000 kilometers away. They do not exist for the organism that has lived on its island all of its life.

The lack of motivation is the reason why that organism would not build a boat. "There is nothing anyway". This is the excuse why that organism spends all the time eating bananas and looking at the clouds. For similar reasons, humans are not making interstellar spacecraft. We have no place to travel. 


There is no contact with aliens. So we don't need that kind of project. That is the reason why many things are resting at the level of the paper. And one thing that limits our ability to create that kind of thing is we have only our thoughts. 


We cannot exchange ideas with some other species that might have different opinions or points of view on those projects. But when we are thinking about the first contact. That thing might be our greatest threat. But at the same time, that thing can be the greatest opportunity for the human race.

In some scenarios that thing will unite humans. The outcoming threat is always united nations. And that thing can happen also if we find alien civilization. 

What if there are two intelligent alien races in the same solar system? In that case, the cultural and technological exchange between species could enrich the social and other kinds of environment. In that model, the species would not destroy each other. 


https://www.lanl.gov/discover/news-release-archive/2021/March/0319-barren-plateaus.php

What was before the Big Bang (Part II)

 What was before the Big Bang. (Part II) "Our universe could be the mirror image of an antimatter universe extending backwards in time....