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A couple of words about COVID-19



The fact is that we are doing what we are doing. We cannot know what happens if we have done something another way. And that is the only sure thing. There is no way to predict what kind of case is the new pandemic. And another fact is that we can say one thing about this pandemic. The fact is that we should update our orders and laws to answer the challenges that this kind of thing will bring somewhere in the future. 

The regulations that COVID-19 causes will remove soon. But the thing is that COVID-19 gave a lesson. And we must analyze the data that is collected from this situation. The COVID-19 gave us the lesson that even we want we are not masters of nature. We tried to remove that virus and we must say that we had 80% success. But in the case of epidemics only one "red-actor" is enough. Only one person who is infected can start the epidemics. And that makes epidemics very hard to predict. 

So when the data is analyzed. We must try to figure what was a success. What went wrong. And what we should improve for the next pandemics. The strategy could be to deny that viruses can cross the border. But in this case, that virus can cross the border.  

We must have some kind of strategy for that case. The vaccines are preventing. The vaccine requires the virus that is used to make it. And laboratories cannot produce a vaccine against every virus on Earth. Another thing is that the virus has a very high ability to transform its DNA. That means that the next pandemic virus is not possible even exists yet. 

If the antiviral medicals cannot have an effect. There is only one method for people who are already infected. That method is so-called controlled epidemics. That thing should guarantee that there is enough nursery capacity for infected people. 

Maybe the next virus is uprising and are we wiser? The fact is that pandemics might turn more common when people are traveling to exotic countries. Things like artificial intelligence can try to predict what kind of virus or threat is coming next. And we can comfort ourselves that most of the viruses that are transferring between individuals through the air are coronavirus. 

The two-layer membrane and complicated structure are making the spread of the virus slower than deadlier filovirus. The filovirus is not transferring so long-distance as coronavirus. The problem is that the DNA or RNA of the coronavirus is harder to isolate than the single-layer virus. And that makes it harder to detect the new virus population. 

And the layer antigens of the virus can be the same in the outer core with COVID-19. But the inner core of the virus has different antigens. And this means that vaccine creation is difficult against those viruses. The fact is that nobody knows what the next pandemic virus looks like. 

The AI can detect new viruses or predict the transformation of the DNA by calculating the possibilities of how the base pairs of the DNA can order. So that AI can calculate the permutation of the DNA base pairs. But the problem is that the virus DNA can have different lengths and number of base pairs. The number of base pairs can change when the virus goes through the species. And even the best AI is helpless if it doesn't have the DNA for analysis. 

The virus samples must collect systematically that the dangerous virus mutations can detect. Or the better thing would be that the transformation of the viruses can detect soon as possible. And that helps to detect the viruses that can cause epidemics. 

In the case of fast-spreading pandemics. Is very important to start vaccine production. But the effect of the vaccine must confirm and it should be strong enough. If the immune reaction is too weak that can turn the situation worse. There is the possibility that too weak an immune reaction would breed the virus variants that are more resistant than the original virus. 

The journalistic attitude to those viruses is interesting. The thing is that the stories where people are turning zombies are not very nice to read. And the worst thing in the case of pandemics is the panic. When people are starting to pack in the same space they are not able to keep safe distances. 

If there are vaccines people should take them or they mean nothing. The vaccines are like lifevests. They are effective only when people are taking them. If people do not take vaccines,  well the vaccine in the freezer does not have an effect. If there are vaccines and people don't want to use them. There is nothing that researchers can do. 

That means the virus is infecting more people than otherwise. The last thing is that there is no power of limits and orders. If people are not following orders they mean nothing. And that is the thing that we must realize when we are defending ourselves against pandemics. 

We can make nice models and simulations. But if we cannot turn them into practice those exercises and models mean nothing. Following those orders is also important. The plans might be good. But if the practice fails that means that the operation fails. 


https://scitechdaily.com/18-months-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-are-we-doing-anything-right/


https://scitechdaily.com/ai-may-predict-the-next-high-risk-virus-to-jump-from-animals-to-humans/


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()https://kimmoswritings.blogspot.com/

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